Euro 2024 - Betting Analysis
⚽️ Our take on Euro 2024 bets - identifying mispricings on the best odds on outright winners, group qualification, individual matches and more. Updated daily throughout the tournament 🔥
HOW THIS PAGE WORKS: In short, we compare our predictions to the bookmakers odds to identify mispricings and opportunities at the bookies.
A mispricing is where the bookmaker has set their odds too high, and is therefore paying out too much relative to likelihood of the outcome - these represent ‘good’ or ‘value’ bets.
Mispricings are highlighted green below. This page is updated daily (usually), so you can check it whenever you want to see what opportunities exist on upcoming matches.
For more details on how the betting analysis works see the explainer page here below …
This page is one of our data dashboards and so generally it and its graphics are best viewed on browser rather than in the Substack app.
TOURNAMENT OUTCOMES 🏆
Below shows a comparison of our model to the bookies, identifying any opportunities.
The Value Threshold (VT) is the threshold at which the model suggests your should consider betting - i.e the price above which the risk becomes worthwhile. Also shown are the best odds found, colour coded by whether they meet that threshold. Good luck! 🤞
EXAMPLE TASTER
Below shows the recommendations for the first two matches of Euro 2024, if you’d like to unlock the full tournament, you can do so for free - we just ask you to sign up below.
All of this content is usually behind a paywall, however we have opened up all of the above for Euro 2024 to give a taster of what it does and how it works.
If you’d like to see all the remaining matches for Euro 2024 you can do so for free!
Use the link below to sign up for a free trial that will last the length of the tournament. And if you like it, consider staying once the domestic leagues start again!
To get the remaining analysis for free on all upcoming matches sign up for the trial above. 👆